Assessing the risk of Nipah virus establishment in Australian flying-foxes

Authors: S. E. ROCHE, S. COSTARD, J. MEERS, H. E. FIELD, A. C. Breed

Year: 2015

Journal: Epidemiol. Infect.

DOI: 10.1017/S0950268813003336

Summary

The paper assesses the risk of Nipah virus establishing in Australian flying-foxes through their movements from nearby regions, using a qualitative risk assessment and expert opinion workshop.

Key Findings

The risk was estimated to be very low under the baseline scenario.
Using the mean and linear opinion pooling combination methods increased the risk.

Methodology

Study Type: Qualitative Risk Assessment with Expert Opinion Workshop
Geographic Focus: Australia and its neighbors

Topics

Epidemiology, Virology, Zoonosis

Relevance

The study provides a flexible model framework for assessing the risk of Nipah virus establishment in Australian flying-foxes, which can be updated with new data.

Source

View the entire paper: File:S0950268813003336a.pdf