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=== [[Global dynamics of a compartmental model to assess the effect of transmission from deceased|Global dynamics of a compartmental model to assess the effect of transmission from decease]]d ===
'''2023''' - Mathematical Biosciences


== Clinical Epidemiology Papers ==
=== 1. Global dynamics of a compartmental model to assess the effect of transmission from deceased ===
2023 - Mathematical Biosciences
This paper presents a compartmental model for the spread of a disease with an imperfect vaccine, considering transmission from deceased infected. The global dynamics are analyzed through Lyapunov func...
This paper presents a compartmental model for the spread of a disease with an imperfect vaccine, considering transmission from deceased infected. The global dynamics are analyzed through Lyapunov func...
Read full paper →


=== [[Projecting vaccine demand and impact for emerging zoonotic pathogens]] ===
'''2024''' - BMC Medicine


=== 2. Projecting vaccine demand and impact for emerging zoonotic pathogens ===
2024 - BMC Medicine
The paper develops a modeling framework to assess sustainable vaccine manufacturing needs and potential impact of outbreak response for four priority pathogens: Lassa virus, Nipah virus, MERS coronavi...
The paper develops a modeling framework to assess sustainable vaccine manufacturing needs and potential impact of outbreak response for four priority pathogens: Lassa virus, Nipah virus, MERS coronavi...
Read full paper →


=== [[Optimal control analysis for the Nipah infection with constant and time-varying vaccination and treatment under real data application]] ===
'''2024''' - Scientific Reports


=== 3. Optimal control analysis for the Nipah infection with constant and time-varying vaccination and treatment under real data application ===
2024 - Scientific Reports
This paper formulates a mathematical model to analyze the dynamics and optimal control of Nipah virus (NiV). The model considers human-to-human and food-borne transmission, as well as contact with an ...
This paper formulates a mathematical model to analyze the dynamics and optimal control of Nipah virus (NiV). The model considers human-to-human and food-borne transmission, as well as contact with an ...
Read full paper →


=== [[Global and regional mortality statistics of nipah virus from 1994 to 2023: a comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis]] ===
'''2024''' - Pathogens and Global Health


=== 4. Global and regional mortality statistics of nipah virus from 1994 to 2023: a comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis ===
2024 - Pathogens and Global Health
This paper reports a significant increase in the global mortality rate of Nipah virus from 54.1% (2004–2013) to 80.1% (2014–2023). India has the highest mortality rate at 82.7% (1994–2023), and enceph...
This paper reports a significant increase in the global mortality rate of Nipah virus from 54.1% (2004–2013) to 80.1% (2014–2023). India has the highest mortality rate at 82.7% (1994–2023), and enceph...
Read full paper →


=== [[Observational study on the clinical epidemiology of infectious acute encephalitis syndrome including Nipah virus disease, Bangladesh: BASE cohort study protocol]] ===
'''2025''' - BMJ Open


=== 5. Observational study on the clinical epidemiology of infectious acute encephalitis syndrome including Nipah virus disease, Bangladesh: BASE cohort study protocol ===
2025 - BMJ Open
This paper describes a prospective cohort study in Bangladesh aimed at characterizing the patient population, clinical features, treatment practices, common aetiologies and outcomes in patients presen...
This paper describes a prospective cohort study in Bangladesh aimed at characterizing the patient population, clinical features, treatment practices, common aetiologies and outcomes in patients presen...
Read full paper →


===  [[A Comparative Analysis of Statistical Methods to Estimate the Reproduction Number in Emerging Epidemics, With Implications for the Current Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Pandemic]] ===
'''2024''' - Clinical Infectious Diseases


=== 6. A Comparative Analysis of Statistical Methods to Estimate the Reproduction Number in Emerging Epidemics, With Implications for the Current Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Pandemic ===
2024 - Clinical Infectious Diseases
This paper compares seven statistical methods to estimate the reproduction number (R0) in emerging epidemics, focusing on the COVID-19 pandemic, and finds that most methods overestimate R0 in the earl...
This paper compares seven statistical methods to estimate the reproduction number (R0) in emerging epidemics, focusing on the COVID-19 pandemic, and finds that most methods overestimate R0 in the earl...
Read full paper →


=== [[Predictors of mortality among critically ill SARS-CoV-2 infected patients—a retrospective cohort study, Kerala, India|Predictors of mortality among critically ill SARS-CoV-2 infected patients—a retrospective cohort study, Kerala, Indi]]a ===
'''2025''' - Front. Public Health


=== 7. Predictors of mortality among critically ill SARS-CoV-2 infected patients—a retrospective cohort study, Kerala, India ===
2025 - Front. Public Health
This paper is a retrospective cohort study identifying predictors of mortality among critically ill SARS-CoV-2 infected patients in Kerala, India....
This paper is a retrospective cohort study identifying predictors of mortality among critically ill SARS-CoV-2 infected patients in Kerala, India....
Read full paper →


=== [[Mapping the distribution of Nipah virus infections: a geospatial modelling analysis]] ===
'''2024''' - Lancet Planet Health


=== 8. Mapping the distribution of Nipah virus infections: a geospatial modelling analysis ===
2024 - Lancet Planet Health
This study maps the distribution of Nipah virus infections using geospatial modeling analysis....
This study maps the distribution of Nipah virus infections using geospatial modeling analysis....
Read full paper →
=== 9. Exact calculation of end-of-outbreak probabilities using contact tracing data ===
2023 - Journal of the Royal Society Interface
This paper presents a method for calculating the exact end-of-outbreak probability using contact tracing data, which can inform public health policymakers about when an infectious disease outbreak has...
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=== [[Exact calculation of end-of-outbreak probabilities using contact tracing data]] ===
'''2023''' - Journal of the Royal Society Interface


=== 10. Exact calculation of end-of-outbreak probabilities using contact tracing data ===
2023 - Journal of the Royal Society Interface
This paper presents a new method for calculating the probability that an infectious disease outbreak has ended using contact tracing data....
This paper presents a new method for calculating the probability that an infectious disease outbreak has ended using contact tracing data....
Read full paper →


=== [[A systematic review on Nipah virus: global molecular epidemiology and medical countermeasures development]] ===
'''2024''' - Virus Evolution


=== 11. A systematic review on Nipah virus: global molecular epidemiology and medical countermeasures development ===
2024 - Virus Evolution
This paper conducts a systematic review on the global epidemiology and research advancements of Nipah virus, aiming to identify key knowledge gaps in the literature....
This paper conducts a systematic review on the global epidemiology and research advancements of Nipah virus, aiming to identify key knowledge gaps in the literature....
Read full paper →

Latest revision as of 00:55, 7 February 2026

2023 - Mathematical Biosciences

This paper presents a compartmental model for the spread of a disease with an imperfect vaccine, considering transmission from deceased infected. The global dynamics are analyzed through Lyapunov func...

2024 - BMC Medicine

The paper develops a modeling framework to assess sustainable vaccine manufacturing needs and potential impact of outbreak response for four priority pathogens: Lassa virus, Nipah virus, MERS coronavi...

2024 - Scientific Reports

This paper formulates a mathematical model to analyze the dynamics and optimal control of Nipah virus (NiV). The model considers human-to-human and food-borne transmission, as well as contact with an ...

2024 - Pathogens and Global Health

This paper reports a significant increase in the global mortality rate of Nipah virus from 54.1% (2004–2013) to 80.1% (2014–2023). India has the highest mortality rate at 82.7% (1994–2023), and enceph...

2025 - BMJ Open

This paper describes a prospective cohort study in Bangladesh aimed at characterizing the patient population, clinical features, treatment practices, common aetiologies and outcomes in patients presen...

2024 - Clinical Infectious Diseases

This paper compares seven statistical methods to estimate the reproduction number (R0) in emerging epidemics, focusing on the COVID-19 pandemic, and finds that most methods overestimate R0 in the earl...

2025 - Front. Public Health

This paper is a retrospective cohort study identifying predictors of mortality among critically ill SARS-CoV-2 infected patients in Kerala, India....

2024 - Lancet Planet Health

This study maps the distribution of Nipah virus infections using geospatial modeling analysis....

2023 - Journal of the Royal Society Interface

This paper presents a new method for calculating the probability that an infectious disease outbreak has ended using contact tracing data....

2024 - Virus Evolution

This paper conducts a systematic review on the global epidemiology and research advancements of Nipah virus, aiming to identify key knowledge gaps in the literature....