Clinical Epidemiology Papers
1. Global dynamics of a compartmental model to assess the effect of transmission from deceased
2023 - Mathematical Biosciences This paper presents a compartmental model for the spread of a disease with an imperfect vaccine, considering transmission from deceased infected. The global dynamics are analyzed through Lyapunov func... Read full paper →
2. Projecting vaccine demand and impact for emerging zoonotic pathogens
2024 - BMC Medicine The paper develops a modeling framework to assess sustainable vaccine manufacturing needs and potential impact of outbreak response for four priority pathogens: Lassa virus, Nipah virus, MERS coronavi... Read full paper →
3. Optimal control analysis for the Nipah infection with constant and time-varying vaccination and treatment under real data application
2024 - Scientific Reports This paper formulates a mathematical model to analyze the dynamics and optimal control of Nipah virus (NiV). The model considers human-to-human and food-borne transmission, as well as contact with an ... Read full paper →
4. Global and regional mortality statistics of nipah virus from 1994 to 2023: a comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis
2024 - Pathogens and Global Health This paper reports a significant increase in the global mortality rate of Nipah virus from 54.1% (2004–2013) to 80.1% (2014–2023). India has the highest mortality rate at 82.7% (1994–2023), and enceph... Read full paper →
5. Observational study on the clinical epidemiology of infectious acute encephalitis syndrome including Nipah virus disease, Bangladesh: BASE cohort study protocol
2025 - BMJ Open This paper describes a prospective cohort study in Bangladesh aimed at characterizing the patient population, clinical features, treatment practices, common aetiologies and outcomes in patients presen... Read full paper →
6. A Comparative Analysis of Statistical Methods to Estimate the Reproduction Number in Emerging Epidemics, With Implications for the Current Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Pandemic
2024 - Clinical Infectious Diseases This paper compares seven statistical methods to estimate the reproduction number (R0) in emerging epidemics, focusing on the COVID-19 pandemic, and finds that most methods overestimate R0 in the earl... Read full paper →
7. Predictors of mortality among critically ill SARS-CoV-2 infected patients—a retrospective cohort study, Kerala, India
2025 - Front. Public Health This paper is a retrospective cohort study identifying predictors of mortality among critically ill SARS-CoV-2 infected patients in Kerala, India.... Read full paper →
8. Mapping the distribution of Nipah virus infections: a geospatial modelling analysis
2024 - Lancet Planet Health This study maps the distribution of Nipah virus infections using geospatial modeling analysis.... Read full paper →
9. Exact calculation of end-of-outbreak probabilities using contact tracing data
2023 - Journal of the Royal Society Interface This paper presents a method for calculating the exact end-of-outbreak probability using contact tracing data, which can inform public health policymakers about when an infectious disease outbreak has... Read full paper →
10. Exact calculation of end-of-outbreak probabilities using contact tracing data
2023 - Journal of the Royal Society Interface This paper presents a new method for calculating the probability that an infectious disease outbreak has ended using contact tracing data.... Read full paper →
11. A systematic review on Nipah virus: global molecular epidemiology and medical countermeasures development
2024 - Virus Evolution This paper conducts a systematic review on the global epidemiology and research advancements of Nipah virus, aiming to identify key knowledge gaps in the literature.... Read full paper →
Clinical Epidemiology of Nipah Virus
1. Global dynamics of a compartmental model to assess the effect of transmission from deceased
2023 - Mathematical Biosciences
This paper presents a compartmental model for the spread of a disease with an imperfect vaccine, considering transmission from deceased infected. The global dynamics are analyzed through Lyapunov func...
2. Projecting vaccine demand and impact for emerging zoonotic pathogens
2024 - BMC Medicine
The paper develops a modeling framework to assess sustainable vaccine manufacturing needs and potential impact of outbreak response for four priority pathogens: Lassa virus, Nipah virus, MERS coronavi...
3. Optimal control analysis for the Nipah infection with constant and time-varying vaccination and treatment under real data application
2024 - Scientific Reports
This paper formulates a mathematical model to analyze the dynamics and optimal control of Nipah virus (NiV). The model considers human-to-human and food-borne transmission, as well as contact with an ...
4. Global and regional mortality statistics of nipah virus from 1994 to 2023: a comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis
2024 - Pathogens and Global Health
This paper reports a significant increase in the global mortality rate of Nipah virus from 54.1% (2004–2013) to 80.1% (2014–2023). India has the highest mortality rate at 82.7% (1994–2023), and enceph...
5. Observational study on the clinical epidemiology of infectious acute encephalitis syndrome including Nipah virus disease, Bangladesh: BASE cohort study protocol
2025 - BMJ Open
This paper describes a prospective cohort study in Bangladesh aimed at characterizing the patient population, clinical features, treatment practices, common aetiologies and outcomes in patients presen...
6. A Comparative Analysis of Statistical Methods to Estimate the Reproduction Number in Emerging Epidemics, With Implications for the Current Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Pandemic
2024 - Clinical Infectious Diseases
This paper compares seven statistical methods to estimate the reproduction number (R0) in emerging epidemics, focusing on the COVID-19 pandemic, and finds that most methods overestimate R0 in the earl...
7. Predictors of mortality among critically ill SARS-CoV-2 infected patients—a retrospective cohort study, Kerala, India
2025 - Front. Public Health
This paper is a retrospective cohort study identifying predictors of mortality among critically ill SARS-CoV-2 infected patients in Kerala, India....
8. Mapping the distribution of Nipah virus infections: a geospatial modelling analysis
2024 - Lancet Planet Health
This study maps the distribution of Nipah virus infections using geospatial modeling analysis....
9. Exact calculation of end-of-outbreak probabilities using contact tracing data
2023 - Journal of the Royal Society Interface
This paper presents a method for calculating the exact end-of-outbreak probability using contact tracing data, which can inform public health policymakers about when an infectious disease outbreak has...
10. Exact calculation of end-of-outbreak probabilities using contact tracing data
2023 - Journal of the Royal Society Interface
This paper presents a new method for calculating the probability that an infectious disease outbreak has ended using contact tracing data....
11. A systematic review on Nipah virus: global molecular epidemiology and medical countermeasures development
2024 - Virus Evolution
This paper conducts a systematic review on the global epidemiology and research advancements of Nipah virus, aiming to identify key knowledge gaps in the literature....